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MIDDLE EAST ASIA-PACIFIC UNITED STATES ISRAEL TÜRKIYE IRAN POLICY POLITICS INDUSTRY

Turkey and US Intelligence Question Credibility of Israeli Warning on Iran Trump Plot

REL_TIME: 13 Aug 2026 22:42Z · LANG: EN

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Turkey and US Intelligence Question Credibility of Israeli Warning on Iran Trump Plot
U.S. Army 522dMIBN by Jordan Pearson · Public domain · source
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Turkish officials and US intelligence sources have raised significant doubts regarding an Israeli intelligence report claiming Iran planned to assassinate US President Donald Trump during the July 2026 NATO summit in Ankara. The Israeli warning, which claimed Iranian covert forces might target Air Force One using shoulder-fired missiles (MANPADS), prompted the US Secret Service to execute a covert decoy operation, moving Trump from Air Force One to a C-32A military aircraft using a catering truck. Turkish authorities believe Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's government fabricated or engineered the plot as a ruse to derail sensitive US-Iran peace negotiations, stall potential US F-35 sales and sanctions relief for Turkey, and undermine relations between Trump and Turkish President Erdogan. Additionally, US intelligence sources revealed that the CIA had 'low confidence' in the threat assessment and was unable to independently corroborate Israeli claims regarding Iranian plots against Trump.

// Background

The incident unfolded amidst ongoing US-Iran negotiations to end military hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, efforts strongly opposed by Israel. Simultaneously, President Trump had indicated a willingness to lift sanctions on Turkey and sell F-35 fighter jets to Ankara, which Israel opposed due to concerns over maintaining its Qualitative Military Edge in the region. Tensions were further complicated by previous US military strikes in Iran in February 2026, which were influenced in part by earlier Israeli intelligence reports.

// Key Developments

  • Israeli intelligence warned the US that Iranian operatives could target Air Force One with shoulder-fired missiles during the Ankara NATO summit.
  • The US Secret Service moved Trump from the main presidential aircraft to an alternate military plane via a catering truck while using the old Air Force One as a decoy.
  • Turkish officials claimed the alleged Iranian plot was logistically impossible due to Ankara's total security lockdown and accused Israel of fabricating the warning.
  • Turkey suspects Israel aimed to derail US-Iran diplomacy, block potential US F-35 fighter jet sales to Ankara, and strain US-Turkey ties.
  • US intelligence sources confirmed that the CIA assessed 'low confidence' in the Israeli intelligence and could not independently verify the threat.

// Timeline

  1. A 12-day war occurs, after which Israeli intelligence warnings about Iranian plots against Trump begin to intensify.

  2. The US launches a military campaign in Iran, partially influenced by intelligence shared by Israel.

  3. Trump attends the 36th NATO Summit in Ankara, meeting with Turkish President Erdogan and discussing US-Iran negotiations and F-35 jet sales.

  4. Israel issues an intelligence warning about an Iranian MANPADS plot; US Secret Service shifts departure airports and covertly transfers Trump to a C-32A aircraft using a catering truck.

  5. Reports from Middle East Eye and The Washington Post reveal the catering truck evasion tactic and Turkish suspicions of Israeli fabrication.

  6. Reuters reports that US intelligence officials held 'low confidence' in the Israeli threat reports and could not verify them.

// Perspectives

[Turkish Officials]

Suspect the Israeli warning was a fabricated ruse designed to disrupt US-Iran diplomacy, derail potential F-35 jet sales to Turkey, and strain Trump-Erdogan relations.

[US Intelligence Community (CIA)]

Assessed 'low confidence' in the Israeli intelligence regarding Iranian assassination plots against Trump and could not independently corroborate the claims.

[Israeli Government]

Rejects assertions that it manipulated US foreign policy through intelligence sharing, asserting it provided critical security information.

[US Secret Service and White House]

Acted out of an abundance of caution regarding the reported threat, executing an elaborate decoy and plane swap operation in Ankara.

// Quotes

“Of course, we took the report very seriously and tried to assist our American counterparts as much as possible. Yet it was very clear to us that there was no way this report was true.”

[Person familiar with the matter / Turkish source] — Explaining Turkey's reaction to the Israeli intelligence warning delivered during the NATO summit.

“I guess they need heroes for an attack that never happened and, most likely, was never planned.”

[Ankara insider] — Commenting on the leaked Secret Service operation in Turkey a month after the summit occurred.

“The same people who claim that Israel is trying to influence U.S. policy through alleged intelligence sharing would just as soon accuse Israel of concealing critical information if it benefited their own agenda.”

[Israeli Embassy spokesperson] — Responding to allegations that Israeli intelligence shared unverified information to manipulate US policy on Iran.
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