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US Air Force Proposes Land Acquisition for 120 New Sentinel ICBM Silos

Reviewed by James Caldwell · 4 min read
US Air Force Proposes Land Acquisition for 120 New Sentinel ICBM Silos
U.S. Air Force · Public domain · source
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The United States Air Force announced in October 2026 a plan to acquire private land for the construction of up to 120 new LGM-35A Sentinel intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) silos. This move marks a significant shift in the modernization of the American nuclear triad's land-based leg, moving away from the initial strategy of reusing existing infrastructure. The proposed acquisitions are concentrated around three major installations: F.E. Warren Air Force Base in Wyoming, Malmstrom Air Force Base in Montana, and Minot Air Force Base in North Dakota.

Under the revised plan, the Air Force is evaluating the purchase of up to 12 acres per silo site. Specifically, the service is looking to acquire land for 30 new silos near F.E. Warren, 30 near Malmstrom, and 60 near Minot. Additionally, officials are considering the reuse of inactive sites formerly operated by the 564th Missile Squadron at Malmstrom for another 60 silos. Beyond the launch facilities, the Air Force plans to build new launch centers for command and control, with each requiring up to 16 acres. While the service aims to reuse existing Missile Alert Facility sites where feasible, Minot may require construction in previously undeveloped areas.

This infrastructure pivot follows a 2024 Nunn-McCurdy Act breach triggered by an 81 percent cost overrun, primarily attributed to civil engineering challenges rather than the missile itself. Analysis conducted in early 2025 determined that the 55-year-old Minuteman III silos were too degraded to be refurbished cost-effectively. Consequently, the Pentagon certified a restructured program that prioritizes building entirely new silos on a one-for-one replacement basis for the 450 active Minuteman sites.

The Air Force has launched a supplemental environmental impact analysis to address these changes, with a 30-day public scoping period beginning in October 2026. A draft statement is expected by fall 2027, followed by a final version in spring 2028. Once the Secretary of the Air Force signs a Record of Decision, land acquisition and construction can officially commence. Initial operational capability for the Sentinel system is currently projected for the early 2030s.

Key Developments

  • The Air Force is seeking to acquire land for 120 new ICBM silos across Wyoming, Montana, and North Dakota.
  • Each new silo site will require the acquisition of approximately 12 acres of land.
  • The service abandoned plans to reuse 55-year-old Minuteman III silos due to excessive refurbishment costs.
  • A supplemental environmental impact analysis was launched in October 2026 to evaluate the new infrastructure requirements.
  • The Sentinel program was restructured following a major Nunn-McCurdy cost breach in early 2024.
  • New launch centers for command and control will require up to 16 acres each, potentially on undeveloped land.
  • Initial operational capability for the LGM-35A Sentinel is now estimated for the early 2030s.

Background

The LGM-35A Sentinel program is designed to replace the LGM-30G Minuteman III, which has served as the land-based leg of the U.S. nuclear triad since 1970. The existing network consists of 450 active silos and 45 missile alert facilities spread across the western United States. While the Minuteman III has undergone various life-extension programs, the underlying infrastructure is over 55 years old and has reached a state of degradation where further refurbishment is no longer considered viable.

The modernization effort occurs against a backdrop of shifting global nuclear dynamics. Since 2021, satellite imagery has revealed extensive Chinese construction of hundreds of new ICBM silos on the Gunza plateau and other regions, potentially housing the solid-fuel DF-41 missile. While China is expanding its total number of silos to increase its strategic options and decoy capabilities, the U.S. plan remains a one-for-one replacement of its existing 450-silo force. The Sentinel program faced a critical hurdle in early 2024 when it triggered a Nunn-McCurdy review due to an 81 percent cost increase. This led to a 120-day review that ultimately recertified the program as vital for national defense but necessitated the current infrastructure-heavy approach.

Timeline

  1. The Minuteman III intercontinental ballistic missile system enters service.

  2. Researchers identify a Chinese construction site for 119 ICBM silos on the Gunza plateau.

  3. The Air Force completes the original environmental impact statement for the Sentinel program.

  4. Sentinel triggers a Nunn-McCurdy review following an 81 percent cost overrun.

  5. Air Force officials decide to build entirely new silos instead of refurbishing old ones to control costs.

  6. Construction begins on a prototype Sentinel launch silo at Northrop Grumman's Utah facility.

  7. The Air Force stacks an inert Sentinel missile at Vandenberg Space Force Base for testing.

  8. A new website for the supplemental environmental impact analysis is launched.

  9. The Air Force expects to release the draft supplemental environmental impact statement.

  10. The final supplemental environmental impact statement is scheduled for release.

Perspectives

U.S. Air Force

Advocating for the acquisition of new land and construction of entirely new silos to mitigate the technical risks and high costs associated with refurbishing aging Minuteman III infrastructure.

Pentagon Leadership

Certified the Sentinel program as essential to national security despite significant cost overruns, provided the program was restructured to control future expenses.

Northrop Grumman

Proceeding with technical development and testing, including prototype silo construction and missile stacking, to meet the revised early 2030s operational timeline.

Quotes

“The program’s issues are not caused by the missile, but rather by the massive infrastructure and civil engineering work needed to build the systems it requires.”

— Unidentified Officials, Explaining the cause of the Sentinel program's cost overruns and schedule delays.

“Predominantly Air Force-owned real estate, which means reusing the existing missile sites but not the 55-year-old silos.”

— Air Force Spokesperson, Describing the strategy for silo replacement following the 2025 decision to build new structures.

“The US modernization programme... is primarily intended to preserve the existing force structure and replace a system that entered service in 1970.”

— Fabrice Wolf, Contrasting the US Sentinel program with China's expansion of its nuclear silo infrastructure.

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